Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.022378 1.152530 1.294448 1.460932 1.651200 1.862228 2.114514
2025-12-28 0.850373 1.028963 1.239312 1.506386 1.837925 2.237847 2.759645
2026-01-04 0.729963 0.934980 1.191996 1.540184 2.003126 2.602419 3.444960
2026-01-11 0.642189 0.862502 1.153512 1.570015 2.157317 2.965546 4.178742
2026-01-18 0.571633 0.799480 1.114245 1.586710 2.288058 3.306784 4.928055
2026-01-25 0.504320 0.730284 1.054746 1.562321 2.350472 3.551193 5.564468
2026-02-01 0.438810 0.654719 0.975265 1.495079 2.334695 3.668815 6.012191
2026-02-08 0.390496 0.598811 0.917709 1.452329 2.348117 3.828720 6.546071
2026-02-15 0.352352 0.554141 0.871929 1.421424 2.374289 4.008807 7.136261
2026-02-22 0.334864 0.540221 0.873036 1.466903 2.533509 4.434417 8.232208
2026-03-01 0.313856 0.518154 0.857996 1.482093 2.639760 4.777190 9.223025
2026-03-08 0.287709 0.484783 0.820267 1.452345 2.659186 4.959462 9.921939
2026-03-15 0.260948 0.448913 0.776518 1.410159 2.656511 5.111639 10.613565
2026-03-22 0.251490 0.442818 0.785223 1.467398 2.855271 5.693905 12.339709
2026-03-29 0.240121 0.432107 0.784330 1.505958 3.021889 6.235767 14.083593
2026-04-05 0.228846 0.420409 0.780255 1.537466 3.177854 6.778338 15.937986
2026-04-12 0.216922 0.406284 0.769968 1.554780 3.305275 7.276572 17.784937
2026-04-19 0.201684 0.384277 0.741943 1.531331 3.338702 7.563103 19.147638
2026-04-26 0.183635 0.355107 0.696767 1.465706 3.266879 7.588187 19.817393
2026-05-03 0.169643 0.332966 0.664020 1.423937 3.245623 7.733908 20.851703
2026-05-10 0.157995 0.314674 0.637676 1.393720 3.248205 7.940050 22.103221
2026-05-17 0.153838 0.311660 0.643510 1.438236 3.440992 8.669350 25.071030
2026-05-24 0.147465 0.303377 0.637110 1.453105 3.560710 9.223017 27.627069